Decent US Corn Crop Overall, But Not Exceptional

Farmers in the United States might manage to pull off an average corn yield on par with the USDA’s latest projection of 177 bu/acre, but it’s not likely going to be above that mark and will more likely be a little lower.

That’s the opinion of Naomi Blohm, Senior Market Advisor with Stewart-Peterson in West Bend, Wisconsin.

There are some areas of the country where the corn crop is in beautiful shape and Blohm’s home state is one of them.

“We are a garden spot this year in Wisconsin. We’ve been blessed with just the right amount of rain, the right amount of heat.

“Hay and silage crops look great. This is wonderful for the 1000 cow, 2000 cow dairy herds in the state.”

She explained that to the west of Wisconsin through Minnesota and over to Fargo, North Dakota, the corn and soybean crops look generally good but are late. Minnesota’s corn and soybeans are about three weeks behind.

To the south, “central Iowa is okay, eastern Iowa is okay, Illinois is perfect…”

She said that her company’s clients in Indiana and Ohio are reporting hit and miss conditions but aren’t complaining a lot.

“Where the corn and soybeans are really struggling is in Northwest Iowa and into eastern Nebraska, and in parts of southern South Dakota,” she explained.

“It’s been very hot and dry and if Nebraska didn’t have irrigation there’d be a lotta hurt,” she said. A big problem though, is that Nebraskans had some storm damage to their irrigation systems and are having trouble getting parts, so there are some fields that would ordinarily be saved that cannot be.

The good areas of the US will keep the overall US crop at a fairly high level, according to Blohm.

“On a national stage, I don’t think the average corn yield will be above 177 bu/acre,”  said Blohm, suggesting the USDA’s Aug 12 report will be lower than that, although not down any lower than about 172 bu/acre.

She thinks the US will probably produce corn and soybean crops that are good enough to get by with an adequate supply.

The growing season has a way to go though. In the areas that are late, “don’t say the ‘frost’ word.”

Source: DePutter Publishing Ltd.

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